Black Swan
| Autor: | Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
|---|---|
| EAN: | 9780141906201 |
| eBook Format: | ePUB |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Produktart: | eBook |
| Veröffentlichungsdatum: | 03.04.2008 |
| Untertitel: | The Impact of the Highly Improbable |
| Kategorie: |
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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
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